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2024-12-13 10:26:28

Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Somali President Mohamed: We are willing to cooperate with Ethiopian leaders and people and make full use of our opportunities in all aspects.Coffee C dropped by over 4.3%, while new york Cocoa dropped by about 0.5%, leaving the highest level in history. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), ICE raw sugar futures rose by 1.33% and ICE white sugar futures rose by 0.50%. ICE coffee "C" futures fell 4.35% to 319.60 cents/pound, after reaching 348.35 cents at 19:51 on December 10th. Robusta coffee futures fell 2.50% to 5101 per ton, and reached 5694 on November 29th. New york cocoa futures fell 0.47% to US$ 10,507/ton; According to Bloomberg data, it has hit a record high for several days since it broke through the top of $8,984 on April 24 on November 22, and it reached 10,690 on December 10. London cocoa futures rose 0.30% to 8429, reaching 8500 at 17:30 Beijing time-also hitting a record high for several days in a row. ICE cotton futures rose 1.02%.


During the year, A-share companies threw out nearly 1,000 single and medium-term cash dividend plans. According to Wind statistics, as of December 11th, 940 listed companies have thrown out 994 single and medium-term cash dividend plans this year, with the number of them increasing by 269.41% year-on-year. The total amount of dividends involved was 667.519 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 166.24%. Among them, 791 orders have been implemented, and dividends have reached 360.768 billion yuan; 203 single pending implementation, the total amount of dividends to be paid is 306.751 billion yuan. (Securities Daily)Promoting Peace and Cooperation Ethiopia and Somalia signed the Ankara Declaration. On December 11th, local time, under the mediation of Turkish President Erdogan, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abi and Somali President Mahmoud signed the Ankara Declaration in Ankara, Turkey, announcing that they would promote peace and cooperation.The Israeli army said it had withdrawn from the Shyam area in southern Lebanon. On the evening of 11th local time, the Israel Defense Forces announced that according to the ceasefire agreement reached with Hezbollah in Lebanon, the troops had withdrawn from the Shyam area in southern Lebanon that morning, and Lebanese Armed Forces soldiers would be deployed in the area together with the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon. The Israeli military says it is still deployed in other parts of southern Lebanon and will continue to fight any threat.


Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Jingao Technology to over-allocation, with a target price of RMB 27.36. Tongwei shares will be upgraded to overweight with a target price of RMB 39.53.The FTSE A50 index closed down 0.01% at 13,475 points in a row.The concept of high-speed copper connection is very popular. Recently, benefiting from the explosive demand growth of AI computing power, the market funds focus on the supporting concept of high-speed copper connection in the upper reaches of NVIDIA. On December 11th, a number of high-speed copper connection concept stocks rose sharply, with Zhaolong Interconnect rising by 12.58%, Woer Nuclear Materials by 8.70%, Shenyu Shares by 4.77% and Derun Electronics by 4.99%. High-speed copper connection, also known as high-speed connector, is a core data transmission component, which constitutes an efficient signal transmission system. Manager Public Offering of Fund said that the concept stocks of high-speed copper connection continued to rise, which actually benefited from the explosion of demand for AI computing power. Invista once introduced at GTC2024 that NVL72 uses copper cable interconnection to save costs significantly compared with optical modules. Shanxi Securities predicts that the new market of high-speed copper cable brought by GB200 will be close to 6 billion US dollars in 2025, and the usage scenarios of high-speed copper cable will continue to expand. It is found that a number of public and private equity funds have heavily invested in the concept stocks of high-speed copper connections that have risen recently in the third quarter. There are also fund managers who heavily invested in related stocks in the second quarter, but significantly reduced their positions in the third quarter, missing the rise of concept stocks in the fourth quarter. There are also some fund managers who continue to be optimistic about the stimulation of the demand of upstream industries caused by the outbreak of AI computing power, and have successively added high-speed copper connection concept stocks. (Securities Times)

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